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PRMIA PRM Certification - Exam III: Risk Management Frameworks, Operational Risk, Credit Risk, Counterparty Risk, Market Risk, ALM, FTP - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

1. If A and B be two debt securities, which of the following is true?

A) The probability of simultaneous default of A and B is greatest when their default correlation is negative
B) The probability of simultaneous default of A and B is not dependent upon their default correlations, but on their marginal probabilities of default
C) The probability of simultaneous default of A and B is greatest when their default correlation is 0
D) The probability of simultaneous default of A and B is greatest when their default correlation is +1


2. If the odds of default are 1:5, what is the probability of default?

A) 12.00%
B) 20.00%
C) 50.00%
D) 16.67%


3. The returns for a stock have a monthly volatilty of 5%. Calculate the volatility of the stock over a two month period, assuming returns between months have an autocorrelation of 0.3.

A) 5%
B) 7.071%
C) 10%
D) 8.062%


4. Stress testing is useful for which of the following purposes:
I. For providing the risk manager with an intuitive check on his risk estimates II. Providing a means of communicating risk implications using plausible scenarios that can be easily explained to a non-technical audience III. Guarding against major errors in the form of model risk IV. Complying with the requirements of Basel II.

A) I, II, III and IV
B) I, II and IV
C) IV only
D) II and IV


5. Under the CreditPortfolio View approach to credit risk modeling, which of the following best describes the conditional transition matrix:

A) The conditional transition matrix is the transition matrix adjusted for the distribution of the firms' asset returns
B) The conditional transition matrix is the transition matrix adjusted for the risk horizon being different from that of the transition matrix
C) The conditional transition matrix is the unconditional transition matrix adjusted for probabilities of defaults
D) The conditional transition matrix is the unconditional transition matrix adjusted for the state of the economy and other macro economic factors being modeled


Solutions:

Question # 1
Answer: D
Question # 2
Answer: D
Question # 3
Answer: D
Question # 4
Answer: A
Question # 5
Answer: D

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